The area needs more rain. A change of pattern can help

The area needs more rain.  A change of pattern can help
The area needs more rain.  A change of pattern can help

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – Southeast Georgia and Northeast Florida finally got some favorable precipitation this weekend.

But much more is needed after a very dry February.

The hot and dry February

February was notable for its warm conditions, with Jacksonville International Airport setting or breaking five records.

It was also a very dry month.

Jacksonville received just 1.42 inches of rain for February. This is well below the average of 2.86″.

This lack of rainfall has led to parched soil and the need to start sprinkler systems on lawns across large parts of the region.

A bit of weekend rain

Although the timing of the rain was not the best for the Gate River Run, it was very favorable rainfall.

The rain was the first measurable precipitation at Jacksonville International Airport since February 17 – a span of 15 days.

0.26″ fell in Jacksonville, making it the most rainfall since February 11th.

Other areas also received rain from the system this weekend.

Precipitation total from Saturday

Gainesville reported 0.72″ of rain, while Craig Executive Airport achieved 0.22″.

Southeast Georgia reported smaller amounts, with St. Simons Island having 0.08″

More rain is needed

While the weekend rain was nice, much more is needed.

Despite the rainfall on Saturday, Jacksonville is already running a small deficit for the month of March.

30 day rainfall deficit

And the dry winter is really starting to take its toll.

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Since January 1, Jacksonville has received 3.86 inches of rain. This is 2.84″ below the average of 6.70″.

The consequences will be.

Small wildfires are starting to appear across southern portions, including in Putnam, Union and Columbia counties.

A change ahead

It is becoming more likely that a pattern change may begin later this week that could lead to wetter conditions.

A large pattern shift in the jet stream is likely to cause storm systems to pass closer to the region.

This can result in a more active weather pattern with higher chances of rain.

In fact, late this week into the weekend the chances of daily rain have become very possible.

The updated 6-10 precipitation outlook from the Climate Prediction Center has above-average rain expected across Southeast Georgia and Northeast Florida.

Precipitation forecasts for the next 6-10 days show wetter than average conditions.

While the weekend rain was beneficial, more rain is needed. It could come in the next few weeks.

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