Selections based on a good track
Race 1 BENCHMARK 66 HCP (1200m)
1. Rylan’s Pick is building a smart record and comes off a dominant win in similar grade, although in a race of less depth. Has a 40 per cent win rate from only 15 starts, and the drop back a furlong in distance offsets a five-week freshen-up.
Dangers: 4. Impact Star is a serious threat from an ideal trailing draw. Came through a strong provincial form race before finishing close up here in similar company 13 days ago, and a far superior rider takes over. 5. Watch Me Rumble also comes back in distance fourth up off a five-week break and tougher grade. 2. Titled Tycoon third up with blinkers back on from the inside draw and 6. Jet Packs second up with blinkers off again can both run into the minor money.
How to play it: Rylan’s Pick to win; Odds and Evens: Split
A good track is predicted for the Dubbo meeting.Credit: Fairfax
Race 2 MAIDEN HCP (1300m)
5. Freewheeler who is ready to strike in a race lacking depth. Couldn’t drag in the winner last start, but a longer journey on a much bigger track is the key.
Dangers: 2. High Charge can settle closer in the run this time at his fourth start. Expecting further improvement from home track filly 6. Warrior’s Kiss. Include 10. Lumin in exotic plays.
How to play it: Freewheeler to win; Odds and Evens: Split
Race 3 CLASS 3 HCP (1400m)
1. Hit The Rim is well placed deep into the prep. Has been finding the line from well back in deeper races, and back on a suitably spacious track he can settle back behind a handy speed and finish over them.
Dangers: 3. Titration was close up in smarter Highway company before charging home into a place in BM 66 grade 12 days ago. 12. Johnny Dash draws to get a sweet run, but rises in class fifth up. 4. Daksha fourth up and 6. I Am Richenuff are over the odds. 8. Charlotting can also add value into trifecta and first fours.
How to play it: Hit The Rim to win; Odds and Evens: Split
Race 4 MAIDEN HCP (1000m)
Can’t go past progressive three-year-old 1. Devilicious second up. Disappointed first up behind a dominant winner when heavily backed, but with extra fitness and a bigger track, he’s the one to beat.
Dangers: 4. Patron Of Power 15 days after running home nicely on debut, 7. Venatic and 14. Wandering Cloud from a soft draw can fight for the minor money.
How to play it: Devilicious to win; Odds and Evens: Split