Race 4, No.3 BRISTLER
Bristler showed good speed early to cross them last start and had plenty to give late when he came away for an impressive win. He again looks likely to lead the smallish field and a repeat of last start will most likely win this. If he gets back out slightly to $2 or better, I think he’s a very good bet.
Race 5, No.5 WOLF PRINCE
Wolf Prince was honest as usual last week at Morphettville and has a few things in his favour tomorrow. He races well at his home track of Murray Bridge, the step up to 2500m should help and he also gets Jason Holder back in the saddle. I think he’s also better off on slightly firmer tracks than last week and he should get those conditions too.
We raced at Murray Bridge on Monday, where we had the rail out 5 metres over the concluding 1000m and the rail remains unchanged for tomorrow. The track played well on Monday and, as per usual, horses were able to cover a little ground and make their runs down the centre in the straight. We have a westerly wind forecast which is into their faces from the chute start. Some rain is predicted but doubt too much will hit before the end of the day and I’m working on a track rating of a ‘5’.
Race 5, No.6 KEEVS
Keevs won clearly last time on the wet at Cranbourne but beat an extremely moderate bunch and the final sectional was unflattering to say the least. He’s lightly raced and possibly has some upside, but I’m more than happy to risk him here. He’s drawn a shade awkwardly also and may cover a little ground early.
Race 3, No.1 CHIEF ALTONY
Chief Altony ran OK first-up on his preferred surface, but I thought he regressed a little second-up. He’s got a big weight here and most of his better form is on tracks softer than what he’s likely to get tomorrow. Can be a shade one-paced and this could well be a sit and sprint affair.