Saturday 27 May, TIO Stadium, 7:25pm (AEDT)
The Gold Coast Suns (4-6) face the Western Bulldogs (7-3) at TIO Stadium. Let’s take a look at the betting lines for Saturday’s AFL matchup. The Bulldogs started the week as 7.5-point favourites but the line has since moved to 11.5, leaving the Bulldogs at $1.49 and Suns at $2.60. The total points line is set at 158.5, with OVER at $1.90 and UNDER at $1.90, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 85-74 Western Bulldogs.
- The Suns (+11.5 @ $1.90) have a 5-5 Line record this season, while the Bulldogs (-11.5 @ $1.90) hold a record of 6-4.
- The Suns have a 6-4 O/U record this season (meaning six games have gone over the total points line and four have gone under). The Bulldogs have a 3-7 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Suns are averaging 79.5 points per game this season (12th in the league). Comparatively, the Bulldogs are averaging 78.0 (14th).
- Defensively, the Suns are giving up 82.7 points per game this season (10th in the league), while the Bulldogs are giving up an average of 71.8 points (3rd).
First Quarter Winner
Gold Coast is $2.15 to win the first quarter, while the Western Bulldogs are $1.65.
- Here are their first quarter records in 2023.
| Total | Home | Away | Favourite | Underdog | At TIO Stadium | Last 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold Coast | 5-5-0 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | 2-0-0 | 3-5-0 | 0-0-0 | 3-2-0 |
| Western Bulldogs | 5-5-0 | 1-3-0 | 4-2-0 | 2-2-0 | 3-3-0 | 0-0-0 | 4-1-0 |
First Half Winner
Gold Coast is $2.32 to win the first half and the Western Bulldogs are $1.58.
- Here are their first half records in 2023.
| Total | Home | Away | Favourite | Underdog | At TIO Stadium | Last 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold Coast | 5-5-0 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | 2-0-0 | 3-5-0 | 0-0-0 | 3-2-0 |
| Western Bulldogs | 5-5-0 | 2-2-0 | 3-3-0 | 2-2-0 | 3-3-0 | 0-0-0 | 4-1-0 |
HT/FT
Gold Coast is $3.50 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, the Western Bulldogs are $1.86.
- The Suns have completed the HT/FT double in 40.0% of games this season, while the Bulldogs have completed the HT/FT double in 50.0% of games.
Margin Betting
Gold Coast is paying $3.00 to win by 1-39 points and $13.00 to win by 40+ on Saturday. Meanwhile, the Western Bulldogs are $2.04 to win by 1-39 and $4.70 to win by 40+. A draw is paying $51.00.
- Here are the Suns’ Margin Betting records in 2023.
| Total | Home | Away | Favourite | Underdog | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
- These are the Bulldogs’ Margin Betting records in 2023.
| Total | Home | Away | Favourite | Underdog | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Tribet
- Here is the Suns’ Tribet record in 2023.
| Total | Home | Away | Favourite | Underdog | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Suns -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Suns -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Suns -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Suns -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 |
| 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
- These are the Bulldogs’ Tribet records in 2023.
| Total | Home | Away | Favourite | Underdog | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulldogs -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Bulldogs -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Bulldogs -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Bulldogs -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Bulldogs -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Disposals
- Looking at their disposal averages in 2023, Gold Coast has accumulated 341.2 per game, while the Western Bulldogs have conceded 367.4.
- Conversely, the Western Bulldogs have averaged 371.6 per contest, while Gold Coast has conceded 356.8.
Player Props
Let’s take a look at some of the best value plays for player markets in Saturday’s matchup.
25+ disposals
- Tom Liberatore has averaged 27.6 disposals this season.
- Tom Liberatore has averaged 29.5 disposals in his last two games.
- When playing interstate, Tom Liberatore has averaged 27.0 disposals this season.
- Tom Liberatore has averaged 21.6 disposals per game in his last five appearances against Gold Coast.
- Tom Liberatore has recorded 25+ disposals in seven of his nine games (77.8%) this season.
- Tom Liberatore has recorded 25+ disposals in each of his last five games.
- When playing interstate, he has recorded 25+ disposals in each of his last three games.
- Tom Liberatore has recorded 25+ disposals in three of his last seven appearances against Gold Coast.
Anytime Goalscorer
- Nick Holman has kicked 7 goals this season – T97th in the AFL.
- When playing interstate, he has kicked three goals from his last two appearances.
- Nick Holman has kicked three goals in his last two appearances against the Western Bulldogs.
- Nick Holman has kicked at least one goal in six of his eight appearances this season.
- Nick Holman has kicked at least one goal in each of his last five appearances.
- When playing interstate, he’s kicked at least one goal in each of his last three appearances.
- In one of Nick Holman’s last two appearances against the Western Bulldogs he has kicked at least one goal.
20+ disposals
- Wil Powell has averaged 19.9 disposals this season.
- Wil Powell has averaged 23.0 disposals in his last four games.
- Wil Powell has averaged 24.0 disposals in his last two appearances in an interstate game.
- Wil Powell has averaged 15.3 disposals per game in his last four appearances against the Western Bulldogs.
- Wil Powell has recorded 20+ disposals in four of his eight games (50.0%) this season.
- Wil Powell has recorded 20+ disposals in four of his last five games.
- When playing interstate, he has recorded 20+ disposals in each of his last two games.
- Wil Powell has recorded 20+ disposals in one of his last two appearances against the Western Bulldogs.
15+ disposals
- Oskar Baker has averaged 16.0 disposals this season.
- Oskar Baker has averaged 17.5 disposals in his last four games.
- When playing interstate, Oskar Baker has averaged 13.7 disposals this season.
- Oskar Baker has recorded 15+ disposals in seven of his 10 games (70.0%) this season.
- Oskar Baker has recorded 15+ disposals in each of his last five games.
- When playing interstate, he has recorded 15+ disposals in each of his last two games.
Anytime Goalscorer
- Anthony Scott has kicked 8 goals this season – T84th in the AFL.
- When playing interstate, he has kicked two goals from his last two appearances.
- Anthony Scott has kicked 1 goal in his three career appearances against Gold Coast.
- Anthony Scott has kicked at least one goal in five of his 10 appearances this season.
- Anthony Scott has kicked at least one goal in each of his last five appearances.
- When playing interstate, he’s kicked at least one goal in each of his last two appearances.
- In one of Anthony Scott’s three career appearances against Gold Coast he has kicked at least one goal.
AFL 2023 Fixture and Odds