CODE Bet AFL Show – Round 12 of the 2023 AFL Season: best bets, player props and picks for every AFL game this weekend! The CODE Bet AFL show this week digs into the biggest clashes this weekend with for the best player props, match bets, game picks and AFL Fantasy value, with a Friday night picks, line bets, over unders and not Harry McFive? With all seven AFL games broken down and picked, there’s everything you need for your AFL betting for the weekend ahead. CODE Bet’s Jaymz Clements, Alex Donnelly and Social guy Leo dive into betting tips for all the teams and players who will dominate in this week’s AFL action.
The Western Bulldogs host the reigning champion Geelong Cats at Marvel Stadium on Saturday night. It’s 6th vs 10th on the ladder: who do the odds like to walk a winner?
WESTERN BULLDOGS (7-4) v GEELONG CATS (5-6) BETTING PREVIEW
WESTERN BULLDOGS: $1.64 (via TopSport)
GEELONG: $2.40 (via Ladbrokes)
Marvel Stadium, Saturday, 7.35pm
Full CODE Bet Match Centre here
WHAT WE’RE LOOKING AT
- Geelong has lost its last three games.
- Western Bulldogs lost last week after a five-game win streak
- The Cats have won the last four games over the Bulldogs and are 16-2 in the last 18 meetings.
- The underdog has won the last three between the two at Marvel.
THE MATCH-UP
The eternal rivalry of Dogs and Cats continues at Marvel Stadium on Saturday night, with both the Western Bulldogs and reigning AFL champs Geelong looking to get back in the winners circle.
It’s sixth versus 10th after the Western Bulldogs had its five game win streak busted by Gold Coast at TIO Stadium last week, while Geelong lost its third straight with a lacklustre performance at home going down to the Giants.
Despite a tough few weeks, the Cats are still ranked second in the AFL for points per gamer at 99.2, but have dropped to 12th in defence, while surrendering 84 a game. For their part, the Dogs are ranked 13th for offence in the league, scoring 77.9 points a contest, but 3rd for defence (allowing only 72.9).
Only one of Geelong’s last four at Marvel has hit the points total over of this game, while the Dogs defence has seen its last five Marvel games hit under this game’s total as well.
Marcus Bontempelli of the Bulldogs kicks the ball during Round 11. Picture: Michael Willson/AFL Photos via Getty Images
DOGS FEELING BULLISH
The Dogs lost to Gold Coast last week due some incredible inefficiency, kicking 11 goals from 66 inside 50s and their forward structure once more looked as messy as it did earlier in the season.
Its midfield has been terrific and against an undermanned Cats team, should run rampant at Marvel.
In the game these two teams played at Marvel last year, Jack Macrae ripped off a massive 31-disposal game: he’s currently rocking and has had an amazing 19 straight games of going over 25 disposals with the Dogs as favourites. Macrae is averaging over 26 a game at the moment and has 26+ in five of his last six.
Marcus Bontempelli is still right in the running for the Brownlow and has gone for 25+ in four straight games and topped 30 in two of those as well.
One of the unsung heroes of the Dogs is Bailey Dale, he’s gone for 25+ disposals in 12 of the last 14 games the Dogs have played at Marvel.
Oliver Henry of the Cats celebrates after scoring a goal during round 11. Picture: Robert Cianflone/Getty Images
REELING CATS
Dealing with an injury list longer than Motley Crue’s rider, the Cats have looked a shell of themselves the last three weeks.
Tom Stewart stood tall last week with 31 disposals and will have plenty to deal with again as the Cats try to contain a rampant Bulldogs midfield who pepper their inside 50 like a Grandpa seasoning his veggies.
Isaac Smith was also one of the few Cats who could hold their heads high after last week, getting plenty of the ball (24 touches) despite not hitting the scoreboard. He’ll be right in the mix again this week on both counts. He’s gone for 21+ touches in 10 of his last game against the Dogs and had at least one goal in three straight games before last round.
BEST CATS-DOGS PLAYER BET
Jeremy Cameron has had a messy few weeks with only three goals in the past three games, but in the two matches against the Dogs last year big Jezza kicked a total of eight goals. If there was a time for him to stand up and put the team on his back, it would be now.
With the Clamper Liam Jones in the Dogs backline collecting scalps like we used to collect footy stickers in primary school, Cameron will need to be at his best in this for Geelong to have a chance.
THE PICK
The Cats injury list is longer than the name of the bloke who just got added to it (Esava Ratugolea), while the Dogs have looked impressive over the last six weeks, especially when playing at Marvel.
But Geelong has won a remarkable 12 straight games over teams that ranked in the Top 8, and the underdog has won each of the past three games between these two teams.
There’s still plenty of questions around this Dogs forward line, but if the Bulldogs can drag the Cats into an ugly, slug-it-out contest where their mids are able to dictate the game, they could win.
Geelong still have Cameron and Tom Hawkins up forward though, and if Geelong get off to a flier, they should cover the line (if not win) a tight one.
[all odds as of June 2]
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