CODE Bet Daily’s weekly AFL Show – Round 14 of the 2023 AFL Season: best bets, player props and picks for every AFL game this weekend! The CODE Bet AFL show this week digs into the biggest clashes this weekend with for the best player props, match bets, game picks and AFL Fantasy value, including Tim Taranto to continue his great form against the Saints and Gold Coast to show they are the best underdog bet against Carlton. With all six AFL games broken down and picked, there’s everything you need for your AFL betting for the weekend ahead. CODE Bet’s Jaymz Clements, Alex Donnelly and Liam ‘Stats Guy’ McAllion dive into betting tips for all the teams and players who will dominate in this week’s AFL action.
Carlton has lost six on the trot and simply must prevail at the MCG against the visiting Gold Coast Suns as Round 14 of the AFL continues Sunday afternoon.
CARLTON BLUES (4-1-8) vs GOLD COAST SUNS (6-6) BETTING PREVIEW
CARLTON: $1.81 (via Betr)
GOLD COAST: $2.10 (via bet365)
MCG, Sunday June 18, 1:10pm AEST
Full CODE Bet Match Centre Here
WHAT WE’RE LOOKING AT
- Carlton has lost its previous 10 matches against teams higher than them on the ladder.
- Carlton has lost its last six games by a 1-39 point margin.
- Carlton’s previous six games have hit under the total points line.
THE MATCH-UP
A pitiful Carlton is set to battle it out against the Gold Coast Suns at the MCG on Sunday afternoon. If Michael Voss’ men lose this clash, the ramifications will come quick and fast towards the heavyweights.
It was crunch time for Carlton on King’s Birthday Eve against traditional rivals Essendon, but the effort just wasn’t there. The Blues only laid 33 tackles for the match despite chasing the game. A lot of the spotlight has been put on Harry McKay, but Charlie Curnow has not been at his jaw-dropping best in the previous few rounds.
Charlie Curnow of the Blues in action during Round 13. Picture: Dylan Burns/AFL Photos via Getty Images
Meanwhile, prior to their bye, the Gold Coast Suns pulled off two huge victories as underdogs against the Western Bulldogs and the high-flying Adelaide Crows. The Suns will be full of confidence, particularly coming off a week’s rest.
As mentioned earlier, Carlton’s tall forward woes and structural game plan have limited their scoring capabilities.
In fact, they are ranked 16th for points scored this season and have failed to score more than 60 points in their previous five matches.
Similarly, Gold Coast are ranked 13th in that department.
Carlton’s last six matches has hit the under and the previous four meetings between these two sides has also hit under the total points line.
Adam Cerra of the Blues kicks off half back during round 13. Picture: Michael Klein.
MIDFIELD BLUES HITTING THEIR STRIDE
Matthew Kennedy to secure 20+ disposals looks like a very valuable leg that you can include in your multi for Sunday afternoon.
Kennedy has had 20+ disposals in his previous 12 matches at the MCG, as well as four in his last five. The midfield bull will also have to improve his standards with a shake-up in selection on the cards of the Blues are to continue this horrid run of form.
Carlton will be looking to maintain possession on the weekend to get the game on their terms, which is something they have struggled to do in recent weeks. They should be able to somewhat do so here, considering they are ranked 4th for total possessions, with Gold Coast ranked last in the competition.
One man who is key into making all of this happen is Adam Cerra, who was one of the best players of the round according to champion data despite the disappointing loss to the Bombers. He amassed 30+ disposals for the sixth time in his previous eight matches.
Suns players celebrate a goal during Round 12. Picture: Dylan Burns/AFL Photos via Getty Images
GOALS UP FOR GRABS
Bailey Humphrey is one of the many exciting talents that is coming through the AFL system this season. The young Suns talisman has kicked eight goals in his nine game career thus far and his unpredictable nature provides some good value with Ladbrokes to kick a major.
He has kicked at least one goal in his previous four matches and we fancy him to continue that streak against a lacklustre Blue’s outfit that can’t seem to hit their stride.
Jarrod Witts continues to be a premier ruckman in the competition and we like the value here for him to highlight his aerial prowess on Sunday. He loves playing Carlton at the ‘G, kicking a goal on the previous three occasions.
Levi Casboult of the Suns and Reilly O’Brien of the Crows compete during Round 12. Picture: Dylan Burns/AFL Photos via Getty Images
FIRST STRIKE AGAINST AN OLD TEAM
Levi Casboult hasn’t had the season this far that he would’ve hoped for, but the big forward has gotten off to good starts in recent matches. In fact, he has kicked the first goal of the match in two of his previous three.
Casboult also had three scoring shots in his only match against his former side and is still at considerable value considering the Carlton defence conceded five goals to Essendon’s tall forward Peter Wright last time out.
THE PICK
A win on the weekend could see the Sun’s move into the top eight for the first time this season. It would be a massive four points in their gruelling quest to finally feature in finals football for the first time since the clubs induction into the league in 2009.
Considering the bin-fire way Carlton are playing at the moment, Gold Coast is the play, despite a 4-12 record at the MCG since 2011.
CARLTON – GOLD COAST SAME GAME MULTI
Carlton have lost their previous six matches, while Gold Coast have defeated two top-eight opponents on the trot
- Matthew Kennedy 20+ disposals
Matthew Kennedy has had 20+ disposals in his last 12 matches at the MCG
Adam Cerra has had 30+ disposals in six of his previous eight matches
- Nick Holman – anytime goal kicker
Nick Holman has kicked at least one goal in six of his seven matches
- Charlie Curnow – 2+ goals
Charlie Curnow has kicked 2+ goals in 10 of his 13 matches this season thus far
FIVE LEG SGM @ $14.73(via Ladbrokes)
[all odds as of June 15]
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