CODE Bet Daily Podcast – Episode 117, Thursday May 25 – NBA Playoffs, AFL & EPL. CODE Bet Daily podcast today searches the globe for the best player props, match bets and game picks, looking at game five between Boston Celtics and Miami Heat in in the NBA, plus a look at Sydney and Carlton’s over under line in the AFL before they do battle on Friday night at the SCG. Plus there’s a look at some of the best other Game five playoff bets & how will Arsenal go against Wolves on Sunday night? CODE Bet Daily’s Jaymz Clements and Alex Donnelly delve into betting tips for teams and players who will dominate across a wide range of sport.
The Western Bulldogs and Gold Coast head to Darwin for their Round 11 AFL match this Saturday night. Will the Bulldogs continue their rich vein of form or will the Suns cause an unlikely upset up north?
GOLD COAST SUNS (4-6) v WESTERN BULLDOGS (7-3) BETTING PREVIEW
GOLD COAST: $2.60 (via Betr)
WESTERN BULLDOGS: $1.53 (via Ladbrokes)
TIO Stadium, Saturday, May 27, 7:25pm AEST
Full CODE Bet Match Centre here
WHAT WE’RE LOOKING AT
- The Western Bulldogs have won their previous six matches at TIO Stadium.
- Gold Coast has covered the line in four of their last five matches.
- The Western Bulldogs previous four matches have hit the under.
THE MATCH-UP
The Gold Coast Suns and in-form Western Bulldogs travel up north to face each other in Darwin on Saturday night. The Dogs have a handsome record at this venue, winning their previous six matches at TIO Stadium.
Stuart Dew’s Suns held off the charging Lions for as long as they could in the Q-clash last week before succumbing to Brisbane’s potent forward line in the final term. Gold Coast conceded 16 second-half goals to eventually lose the match by 43 points.
Meanwhile, after a horrid 2-3 start to the 2023 campaign, Luke Beveridge’s outfit has turned things around, winning their previous five matches. However, none of those victories have come against opponents higher than them on the ladder, although it did cruise to victory last time out against the in-form Crows in Ballarat.
Ben King of the Suns takes a mark during the round 10 AFL Q-Clash. Picture: Albert Perez/AFL Photos via Getty Images
THE KING IN DARWIN
It’s been another year of showing glimpses of good footy for the Gold Coast Suns. However, it looks like another mediocre year without a finals appearance is on the cards, with the midfield struggling without the bullish Touk Miller.
Ben King struggled in his return to footy at the start of the season after missing all of last year with a torn ACL injury. However, he has hit his stride in recent weeks, kicking at least two goals in his previous six matches.
Nick Holman has been a serviceable but consistent contributor for the Suns this season and finds himself at a value price to kick a goal in his 100th match. Holman is an accurate set shot with at least one goal in his previous six matches.
Marcus Bontempelli (left) and Anthony Scott of the Bulldogs celebrate during Round 09. Picture: Michael Willson/AFL Photos via Getty Images
BROWNLOW BONT?
A strong indication that the Bulldogs are on the right track has been their obvious improved midfield performances. Skipper Marcus Bontempelli has been excellent all season and is one of the favourites for the Brownlow Medal.
Bont has been in and around the 25 disposal mark all year and is at a solid price with bet365 to achieve that total again. Considering he is coming off his third 30+ disposal match of the season, it bodes well for him against an underperforming Gold Coast midfield. Not to mention he has had 25+ disposals in his previous three matches.
Oskar Baker is taking his opportunity at the Western Bulldogs since moving from Melbourne with both hands and is finding himself consistently in the starting 22. This is already the most games he has played in a single season (10) in his career thus far.
Baker’s high kick to handball ratio is one of the reasons keeping him in the side and has had 15+ disposals in seven of his previous eight matches.
FIRST GOAL KICKER
If Gold Coast are to kick the first goal of the match, it’s most likely to come via the in-form Ben King. He has kicked the first goal of the match in 20% of his matches so far in this campaign and is the only consistent multiple goal kicker for the Suns.
THE PICK
The Western Bulldogs enter the match as the favourites on Saturday night and I tend to agree. They are on a strong run of form, winning their previous five matches against Fremantle (A), Hawthorn (H), GWS (A), Carlton (A) and Adelaide (H).
It’s hard to see them losing against the lacklustre Suns and five of the previous six meetings between the two sides have fallen between the margin of 1-39.
Oskar Baker and Marcus Bontempelli of the Bulldogs celebrate after scoring a goal during round 10. Picture: Robert Cianflone/Getty Images
SUNS SET SAME GAME MULTI
Five of the previous six meetings have been decided between 1-39 points
- David Swallow 15+ disposals
David Swallow has had 15+ disposals in 14 of his last 15 matches
- Oskar Baker 15+ disposals
Oskar Baker has had 15+ disposals in his previous five matches
- Marcus Bontempelli 25+ disposals
Marcus Bontempelli has had 25+ disposals in six of his last eight matches
- Anthony Scott – anytime goal-kicker
Anthony Scott has kicked at least one goal in his previous five matches
FIVE-LEG SGM @ $9.68 (via TopSport)
[all odds as of May 26]
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