Saturday 27 May, GMHBA Stadium, 4:35pm (AEDT)
The Geelong Cats (5-5) face the GWS Giants (3-7) at GMHBA Stadium. Let’s take a look at the betting lines for Saturday’s AFL matchup. The Cats started the week as 38.5-point favourites but the line has since moved to 40.5, leaving the Cats at $1.12 and Giants at $6.10. The total points line is set at 174.5, with OVER at $1.90 and UNDER at $1.90, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 108-67 Geelong.
- These teams share a 3-7 Line record this season. The Cats are -40.5 at $1.90 to cover the spread while the Giants are +40.5 at $1.90.
- The Cats have an 8-2 O/U record this season (meaning eight games have gone over the total points line and two have gone under). The Giants have a 6-4 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Cats are averaging 101.7 points per game this season (2nd in the league). Comparatively, the Giants are averaging only 80.3 (11th).
- Defensively, the Cats are giving up 84.3 points per game this season (11th in the league), while the Giants are giving up an average of 93.9 points (16th).
First Quarter Winner
Geelong is $1.32 to win the first quarter, while GWS is $3.20.
- Here are their first quarter records in 2023.
| Total | Home | Away | Favourite | Underdog | At GMHBA Stadium | Last 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geelong | 7-3-0 | 3-1-0 | 4-2-0 | 7-3-0 | 0-0-0 | 2-0-0 | 4-1-0 |
| GWS | 5-5-0 | 2-4-0 | 3-1-0 | 1-2-0 | 4-3-0 | 0-0-0 | 2-3-0 |
First Half Winner
Geelong is $1.20 to win the first half and GWS is $4.40.
- Here are their first half records in 2023.
| Total | Home | Away | Favourite | Underdog | At GMHBA Stadium | Last 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geelong | 5-5-0 | 3-1-0 | 2-4-0 | 5-5-0 | 0-0-0 | 2-0-0 | 3-2-0 |
| GWS | 3-6-1 | 1-4-1 | 2-2-0 | 1-2-0 | 2-4-1 | 0-0-0 | 1-3-1 |
HT/FT
Geelong is $1.23 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, GWS is $10.50.
- The Cats have completed the HT/FT double in 40.0% of games this season, while the Giants have completed the HT/FT double in 20.0% of games.
Margin Betting
Geelong is paying $2.33 to win by 1-39 points and $1.84 to win by 40+ on Saturday. Meanwhile, GWS is $8.00 to win by 1-39 and $56.00 to win by 40+. A draw is paying $76.00.
- Here are the Cats’ Margin Betting records in 2023.
| Total | Home | Away | Favourite | Underdog | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- These are the Giants’ Margin Betting records in 2023.
| Total | Home | Away | Favourite | Underdog | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ |
| 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
Tribet
- Here is the Cats’ Tribet record in 2023.
| Total | Home | Away | Favourite | Underdog | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cats -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Cats -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Cats -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Cats -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Cats -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 |
| 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- These are the Giants’ Tribet records in 2023.
| Total | Home | Away | Favourite | Underdog | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Giants -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Giants -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Giants -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Giants -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 |
| 1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
Disposals
- Looking at their disposal averages in 2023, Geelong has accumulated 341.3 per game, while GWS has conceded 370.4.
- Conversely, GWS has averaged 387.1 per contest, while Geelong has conceded 343.7.
Player Props
Let’s take a look at some of the best value plays for player markets in Saturday’s matchup.
3+ Goal Scorer
- Tom Hawkins has kicked 29 goals this season – 3rd in the AFL.
- He has kicked 10 goals from his last three appearances at GMHBA Stadium.
- Tom Hawkins has kicked six goals in his last two appearances against GWS.
- Tom Hawkins has kicked 3+ goals in five of his 10 appearances this season.
- Tom Hawkins has kicked 3+ goals in each of his last two appearances.
- At GMHBA Stadium, he’s kicked 3+ goals in three of his last four appearances.
- In two of Tom Hawkins’ last three appearances against GWS at GMHBA Stadium he has kicked 3+ goals.
25+ disposals
- Stephen Coniglio has averaged 29.8 disposals this season.
- Stephen Coniglio has averaged 28.3 disposals in his last four games.
- Stephen Coniglio has averaged 32.5 disposals in his last four appearances in an interstate game.
- Stephen Coniglio has averaged 26.8 disposals per game in his five career appearances against Geelong at GMHBA Stadium.
- Stephen Coniglio has recorded 25+ disposals in each of his 10 games (100.0%) this season.
- Stephen Coniglio has recorded 25+ disposals in each of his last 10 games.
- When playing interstate, he has recorded 25+ disposals in each of his six games (100.0%) this season.
- Stephen Coniglio has recorded 25+ disposals in each of his last two appearances against Geelong at GMHBA Stadium.
2+ Goal Scorer
- Toby Greene has kicked 22 goals this season – T11th in the AFL.
- He has kicked seven goals from his last two appearances at GMHBA Stadium.
- Toby Greene has kicked seven goals in his last two appearances against Geelong at GMHBA Stadium.
- Toby Greene has kicked 2+ goals in seven of his eight appearances this season.
- Toby Greene has kicked 2+ goals in each of his last five appearances.
- When playing interstate, he’s kicked 2+ goals in each of his last six appearances.
- In each of Toby Greene’s last five appearances against Geelong he has kicked 2+ goals.
2+ Goal Scorer
- Jesse Hogan has kicked 21 goals this season – 13th in the AFL.
- When playing interstate, he has kicked five goals from his last two appearances.
- Jesse Hogan has kicked 2 goals in his two career appearances against Geelong at GMHBA Stadium.
- Jesse Hogan has kicked 2+ goals in nine of his 10 appearances this season.
- Jesse Hogan has kicked 2+ goals in each of his last six appearances.
- When playing interstate, he’s kicked 2+ goals in each of his last four appearances.
- Throughout his career, he has kicked 2+ goals in zero of his two appearances against Geelong at GMHBA Stadium.
20+ disposals
- Max Holmes has averaged 19.4 disposals this season.
- Max Holmes has averaged 15.0 disposals in his last two games.
- At GMHBA Stadium, Max Holmes has averaged 22.5 disposals in his last four games.
- Max Holmes averaged 12 disposals in his single career appearance at GMHBA Stadium against GWS.
- Max Holmes has recorded 20+ disposals in five of his 10 games (50.0%) this season.
- Max Holmes has recorded 20+ disposals in four of his last seven games.
- At GMHBA Stadium, he has recorded 20+ disposals in each of his last four games.
AFL 2023 Fixture and Odds