By comparison, Melbourne bull Clayton Oliver wins 47 per cent of his possessions in contested situations – and balances his game on the outside with 39 uncontested marks and 142 uncontested possessions, more than double Rowell’s count.
Brownlow medallist Lachie Neale has 53 per cent of his disposals at the Brisbane Lions graded as contested. He has had 102 uncontested touches, 40 more than Rowell.
The greatest midfielders, such as Gary Ablett jnr, Chris Judd, Simon Black, Joel Selwood and Patrick Dangerfield, are ranked as “elite” at winning contested possessions. They also punished the opposition by inflicting damage from a loose-ball get or a handball receive that allowed them to run in open space and deliver the ball inside the 50, or to score themselves.
Rowell rarely gains possession when the opposition is not casting a shadow on him.
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He needs help or he will fall. The physical toll from such a brutal style of play will overwhelm him. He must learn to find space for uncontested marks and possessions while also hitting the scoreboard if he is to be an AFL great.
His taxing style of play explains why he fades in the last quarter. On Saturday, when the game was on the line and Rowell needed to impact, he had just four touches to finish the game with 18. He started with seven touches and five clearances when fresh in the first term.
Despite playing solely in the midfield and constantly being around the ball, Rowell has yet to record a 30-disposal game this season. He has done such only once in his 47 AFL matches.
Rowell was the No.1 pick in the 2019 AFL national draft and exploded into the 2020 season, kicking six goals, and earning nine Brownlow votes in his first four games before suffering a season-ending injury. He has kicked just four goals and received four Brownlow votes in his next 43 matches.
In the US’ most popular sport – the American football NFL – a vital position is the running back. His primary responsibility is to carry the ball on rushing plays, running with the ball seeking to gain as many yards as possible. However, the average career for a running back is short – between two and three years.
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The position requires constant and heavy physical contact, often resulting in a higher risk of injuries. Running backs, searching for valuable yards, sometimes propel their bodies like human missiles into the waiting opposition who are ready and waiting to drive them back the other way.
This tactic often results in sickening injuries. Those who play the position have shorter careers than the more glorified and protected quarterbacks, who could play for decades. As a result, NFL franchises rarely select running backs with early draft picks. Teams are reluctant to reward them with extravagant contracts.
Rowell is going the way of the running back. He has already suffered long-term knee and shoulder injuries, derailing his first two years.
Ablett was Gold Coast’s most outstanding player and influential figure. He would be an ideal mentor for Rowell to guide him on how to win cheap ball.
Rowell will never lose his biggest strength. No one is better at burrowing into a pack and farming the ball out to his teammates. But if he does not fix his biggest weakness he will be gone before his time to the land of the running back.
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