(Note: All dollar amounts in this news release are expressed in
“We got off to a great start in 2023, with our property and casualty insurance and reinsurance operations producing operating income of
“On
“Net gains on investments of
“As we have previously said, we have increased our interest and dividend annual run-rate to over
“We continue to focus on being soundly financed and ended the quarter with approximately
The table below presents the sources of the company’s net earnings in a format which the company has consistently used as it believes it assists in understanding Fairfax:
First quarter | |||||
2023 | 2022 | ||||
($ millions) | |||||
Gross premiums written | 7,138.5 | 6,662.9 | |||
Net premiums written | 5,663.1 | 5,342.7 | |||
Net insurance revenue | 5,159.9 | 4,674.4 | |||
Sources of net earnings | |||||
Operating income – |
|||||
Insurance service result: | |||||
North American Insurers | 275.8 | 211.6 | |||
Global Insurers and Reinsurers | 625.3 | 399.1 | |||
International Insurers and Reinsurers | 76.6 | 51.2 | |||
Insurance service result | 977.7 | 661.9 | |||
Other insurance operating expenses | (197.6 | ) | (170.0 | ) | |
780.1 | 491.9 | ||||
Interest and dividends | 311.5 | 110.5 | |||
Share of profit of associates | 217.7 | 127.5 | |||
Operating income – |
1,309.3 | 729.9 | |||
Operating income – Life insurance and Run-off | 3.4 | 44.6 | |||
Operating income (loss) – Non-insurance companies | (0.6 | ) | 27.1 | ||
Net finance income (expense) from insurance contracts and reinsurance contract assets held | (163.4 | ) | 419.0 | ||
Net gains (losses) on investments | 771.2 | (195.2 | ) | ||
Interest expense | (124.3 | ) | (103.9 | ) | |
Corporate overhead and other expense | (26.5 | ) | (16.3 | ) | |
Earnings before income taxes | 1,769.1 | 905.2 | |||
Provision for income taxes | (365.1 | ) | (206.4 | ) | |
Net earnings | 1,404.0 | 698.8 | |||
Attributable to: | |||||
Shareholders of Fairfax | 1,250.0 | 588.7 | |||
Non-controlling interests | 154.0 | 110.1 | |||
1,404.0 | 698.8 |
The table below presents the insurance service result for the property and casualty insurance and reinsurance operations reconciled to underwriting profit, a key performance measure used by the company and the property and casualty industry in which it operates. The reconciling adjustments are (i) other insurance operating expenses as presented on the consolidated statement of earnings, and (ii) the effects of discounting of losses and ceded losses on claims recorded in the period and the effects of the risk adjustment and other, which are presented in insurance service expenses and recoveries of insurance service expenses.
First Quarter | |||||
2023 | 2022 | ||||
($ millions) | |||||
Insurance service result | 977.7 | 661.9 | |||
Other insurance operating expenses | (197.6 | ) | (170.0 | ) | |
Discounting of losses and ceded losses on claims recorded in the period | (422.4 | ) | (175.7 | ) | |
Changes in the risk adjustment and other | (43.9 | ) | 8.2 | ||
Underwriting profit | 313.8 | 324.4 | |||
Interest and dividends | 311.5 | 110.5 | |||
Share of profit of associates | 217.7 | 127.5 | |||
Adjusted operating income – |
843.0 | 562.4 |
Adoption of IFRS 17 Insurance Contracts (“IFRS 17”) on
On
- It resulted in considerable changes to the recognition, measurement, presentation and disclosure of the company’s insurance and reinsurance operations – the most significant being the discounting of the company’s net insurance liabilities and a new risk adjustment for uncertainty.
- This new accounting standard has not changed the way management evaluates the performance of its property and casualty insurance and reinsurance operations. The company remains focused on underwriting profit on an undiscounted basis with strong reserving with all of the property and casualty insurance and reinsurance operations continuing to use the traditional performance measures of gross premiums written, net premiums written and combined ratios to manage the business.
- The cumulative effect of implementing IFRS 17 was
$2.4 billion and was recognized as an increase in common shareholders’ equity atDecember 31, 2022 (an increase in book value per share of$104.60 ), primarily reflecting the introduction of discounting net claims reserves of$4.7 billion , partially offset by a risk adjustment of$1.6 billion for uncertainty related to the timing and amount of cash flows from non-financial risk and by the tax effect of the measurement changes and other of$0.7 billion . - The new standard increased common shareholders’ equity at
December 31, 2022 to$17.8 billion , a book value per share of$762.28 .
Highlights for the first quarter of 2023 (with comparisons to the first quarter of 2022 except as otherwise noted, and excluding the effects of IFRS 17 when discussing the combined ratio and adjusted operating income) include the following:
- Net premiums written by the property and casualty insurance and reinsurance operations increased 6.1% to
$5,619 .4 million from$5,297 .3 million, while gross premiums written increased by 7.2%. - The consolidated combined ratio of the property and casualty insurance and reinsurance operations was 94.0%, producing an underwriting profit of
$313 .8 million, compared to a combined ratio of 93.1% and an underwriting profit of$324 .4 million in 2022, driven by continued growth in business volumes (net insurance revenue increased by 10.6%) and prudent expense management, partially offset by increased catastrophe losses of$191 .9 million or 3.7 combined ratio points in the quarter. - Adjusted operating income of the property and casualty insurance and reinsurance operations increased by 49.9% to
$843.0 million from$562.4 million , principally due to increased interest and dividend income and share of profit of associates. - Net finance expense from insurance contracts and reinsurance contract assets held of
$163.4 million reflected interest accretion as a result of the unwinding of the effects of discounting recognized at higher interest rates compared to net finance income from insurance contracts and reinsurance contract assets held of$419.0 million in the prior year that benefited from the significant increase in discount rates during the quarter, the effects of which exceeded the interest accretion. - Consolidated interest and dividends increased significantly in the quarter from
$168.9 million to$382.3 million . AtMarch 31, 2023 the company’s insurance and reinsurance companies held portfolio investments of$54.5 billion (excludingFairfax India’s portfolio of$2.0 billion ), of which approximately$7.5 billion was in cash and short term investments representing approximately 13.7% of those portfolio investments. During the first quarter of 2023 the company used net proceeds from sales and maturities of short datedU.S. treasuries to purchase$5.9 billion ofU.S. treasuries with maturities between 3 to 5 years, which will benefit interest and dividend income in the remainder of 2023. - Consolidated share of profit of associates of
$333.8 million principally reflected share of profit of$94.6 million from Eurobank,$69.2 million from EXCO Resources Inc.,$50.1 million from Poseidon (formerly Atlas Corp.) and$28.7 million from Gulf Insurance. - Net gains on investments of
$771.2 million consisted of the following:
First quarter of 2023 | ||||||||
($ millions) | ||||||||
Realized gains (losses) |
Unrealized gains |
Net gains |
||||||
Net gains (losses) on: | ||||||||
Equity exposures | 172.7 | 237.7 | 410.4 | |||||
Bonds | (331.9 | ) | 650.9 | 319.0 | ||||
Other | (63.1 | ) | 104.9 | 41.8 | ||||
(222.3 | ) | 993.5 | 771.2 |
Net gains on equity exposures of
Net gains on bonds of
- The Non-insurance companies reporting segment had an operating loss of
$0.6 million in the first quarter of 2023 compared to operating income of$27.1 million in the first quarter of 2022. Excluding non-cash charges and adjustments and the operating loss at Grivalia Hospitality (consolidated onJuly 5, 2022 ), which together totaled$74.7 million in the first quarter of 2023, operating income increased by$47.0 million to$74.1 million , principally reflecting higher share of profit of associates and increased interest and dividend income atFairfax India and higher business volumes at AGT. - Interest expense of
$124.3 million (inclusive of$13.0 million on leases) was principally comprised of$81.8 million incurred on borrowings by the holding company and the insurance and reinsurance companies and$29.5 million incurred on borrowings by the non-insurance companies (which are non-recourse to the holding company). - At
March 31, 2023 the excess of fair value over carrying value of investments in non-insurance associates and consolidated non-insurance subsidiaries was$439.1 million . - The company’s total debt to total capital ratio, excluding non-insurance companies, decreased to 22.9% at
March 31, 2023 compared to 23.7% atDecember 31, 2022 , principally reflecting increased common shareholders’ equity as a result of the strong net earnings reported in the quarter. - During the first quarter of 2023 the company purchased 156,685 of its subordinate voting shares for cancellation at an aggregate cost of
$100.0 million . - Transactions closing or closed subsequent to
March 31, 2023 :- On
May 10, 2023 Brit completed the sale ofAmbridge Group (“Ambridge”), its Managing General Underwriter operations, toAmynta Group . In the second quarter of 2023 Brit will deconsolidate the assets and liabilities of Ambridge and will record a pre-tax gain of approximately$255 million (prior to ascribing any fair value to the potential additional receivable). - On
April 19, 2023 the company entered into an agreement to acquire all shares ofGulf Insurance Group K.S.C.P . (“Gulf Insurance”) under the control of KIPCO and certain of its affiliates, representing 46.3% of the equity of Gulf Insurance. On closing of the transaction, which is expected to be in the second half of 2023, the company’s equity interest in Gulf Insurance will increase from 43.7% to a controlling interest of 90.0%. The company anticipates that upon closing it will consolidate the assets and liabilities of Gulf Insurance and will record a pre-tax gain of approximately$300 million , with changes in the company’s carrying value of its equity accounted investment in Gulf Insurance up until the date of closing impacting the pre-tax gain.
- On
There were 23.3 million and 23.8 million weighted average common shares effectively outstanding during the first quarters of 2023 and 2022 respectively. At
Consolidated balance sheet, earnings and comprehensive income information, together with segmented premium and combined ratio information, follow and form part of this news release.
As previously announced, Fairfax will hold a conference call to discuss its first quarter 2023 results at
For further information, contact: | (416) 367-4941 |
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
as at
(US$ millions except per share amounts)
2023 |
2022 |
2022 |
|||||||
Restated(1) | Restated(1) | ||||||||
Assets | |||||||||
Holding company cash and investments (including assets pledged for derivative obligations – |
971.6 | 1,345.8 | 1,478.3 | ||||||
Insurance contract receivables | 613.9 | 648.9 | 650.1 | ||||||
Portfolio investments | |||||||||
Subsidiary cash and short term investments (including restricted cash and cash equivalents – |
7,455.7 | 9,368.2 | 21,799.5 | ||||||
Bonds (cost |
32,054.0 | 28,578.5 | 14,091.2 | ||||||
Preferred stocks (cost |
2,324.4 | 2,338.0 | 2,405.9 | ||||||
Common stocks (cost |
5,823.6 | 5,124.3 | 5,468.9 | ||||||
Investments in associates (fair value |
6,035.4 | 6,093.1 | 4,749.2 | ||||||
Derivatives and other invested assets (cost |
849.4 | 828.5 | 991.2 | ||||||
Assets pledged for derivative obligations (cost |
113.4 | 51.3 | 119.6 | ||||||
1,982.6 | 1,942.8 | 2,066.0 | |||||||
56,638.5 | 54,324.7 | 51,691.5 | |||||||
Reinsurance contract assets held | 9,891.6 | 9,691.5 | 9,893.1 | ||||||
Deferred income tax assets | 132.9 | 137.3 | 449.1 | ||||||
5,737.2 | 5,689.0 | 5,928.2 | |||||||
Other assets | 7,183.6 | 6,981.3 | 6,034.1 | ||||||
Total assets | 81,169.3 | 78,818.5 | 76,124.4 | ||||||
Liabilities | |||||||||
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities | 4,918.8 | 4,806.6 | 4,587.6 | ||||||
Derivative obligations | 301.3 | 191.0 | 152.9 | ||||||
Deferred income tax liabilities | 1,071.0 | 868.0 | 586.5 | ||||||
Insurance contract payables | 1,440.0 | 1,402.7 | 1,826.0 | ||||||
Insurance contract liabilities | 40,691.4 | 39,906.6 | 39,742.2 | ||||||
Borrowings – holding company and insurance and reinsurance companies | 6,631.7 | 6,621.0 | 6,129.3 | ||||||
Borrowings – non-insurance companies | 2,086.6 | 2,003.9 | 1,623.7 | ||||||
Total liabilities | 57,140.8 | 55,799.8 | 54,648.2 | ||||||
Equity | |||||||||
Common shareholders’ equity | 18,663.8 | 17,780.3 | 15,199.8 | ||||||
Preferred stock | 1,335.5 | 1,335.5 | 1,335.5 | ||||||
Shareholders’ equity attributable to shareholders of Fairfax | 19,999.3 | 19,115.8 | 16,535.3 | ||||||
Non-controlling interests | 4,029.2 | 3,902.9 | 4,940.9 | ||||||
Total equity | 24,028.5 | 23,018.7 | 21,476.2 | ||||||
81,169.3 | 78,818.5 | 76,124.4 | |||||||
Book value per basic share | 803.49 | 762.28 | 636.89 | ||||||
(1) Restated for the transition to IFRS 17.
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF EARNINGS
for the three months ended
(US$ millions except per share amounts)
First quarter | ||||||
2023 | 2022 | |||||
Restated(1) | ||||||
Insurance | ||||||
Insurance revenue | 6,279.9 | 5,638.2 | ||||
Insurance service expenses | (5,177.4 | ) | (4,697.8 | ) | ||
Net insurance result | 1,102.5 | 940.4 | ||||
Cost of reinsurance | (1,120.0 | ) | (963.8 | ) | ||
Recoveries of insurance service expenses | 1,004.3 | 691.1 | ||||
Net reinsurance result | (115.7 | ) | (272.7 | ) | ||
Insurance service result | 986.8 | 667.7 | ||||
Other insurance operating expenses | (246.1 | ) | (144.4 | ) | ||
Net finance income (expense) from insurance contracts | (225.8 | ) | 513.6 | |||
Net finance income (expense) from reinsurance contract assets held | 62.4 | (94.6 | ) | |||
577.3 | 942.3 | |||||
Investment income | ||||||
Interest and dividends | 382.3 | 168.9 | ||||
Share of profit of associates | 333.8 | 180.6 | ||||
Net gains (losses) on investments | 771.2 | (195.2 | ) | |||
1,487.3 | 154.3 | |||||
Other revenue and expenses | ||||||
Non-insurance revenue | 1,558.4 | 1,066.3 | ||||
Non-insurance expenses | (1,623.1 | ) | (1,075.0 | ) | ||
Interest expense | (124.3 | ) | (103.9 | ) | ||
Corporate and other expenses | (106.5 | ) | (78.8 | ) | ||
(295.5 | ) | (191.4 | ) | |||
Earnings before income taxes | 1,769.1 | 905.2 | ||||
Provision for income taxes | (365.1 | ) | (206.4 | ) | ||
Net earnings | 1,404.0 | 698.8 | ||||
Attributable to: | ||||||
Shareholders of Fairfax | 1,250.0 | 588.7 | ||||
Non-controlling interests | 154.0 | 110.1 | ||||
1,404.0 | 698.8 | |||||
Net earnings per share | 53.17 | 24.23 | ||||
Net earnings per diluted share | 49.38 | 22.67 | ||||
Cash dividends paid per share | 10.00 | 10.00 | ||||
Shares outstanding (000) (weighted average) | 23,282 | 23,838 | ||||
(1) Restated for the transition to IFRS 17.
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
for the three months ended
(US$ millions)
First quarter | ||||||
2023 | 2022 | |||||
Restated(1) | ||||||
Net earnings | 1,404.0 | 698.8 | ||||
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of income taxes | ||||||
Items that may be reclassified to net earnings | ||||||
Net unrealized foreign currency translation gains (losses) on foreign subsidiaries | 60.6 | (18.1 | ) | |||
Losses on hedge of net investment in Canadian subsidiaries | (2.4 | ) | (24.9 | ) | ||
Gains (losses) on hedge of net investment in European operations | (14.3 | ) | 18.2 | |||
Share of other comprehensive income (loss) of associates, excluding net gains (losses) on defined benefit plans | 2.2 | (47.0 | ) | |||
Other | (3.3 | ) | — | |||
42.8 | (71.8 | ) | ||||
Net unrealized foreign currency translation gains on associates reclassified to net earnings | (4.8 | ) | — | |||
38.0 | (71.8 | ) | ||||
Items that will not be reclassified to net earnings | ||||||
Net gains (losses) on defined benefit plans | (10.3 | ) | 50.1 | |||
Share of net gains on defined benefit plans of associates | 0.3 | 5.8 | ||||
(10.0 | ) | 55.9 | ||||
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of income taxes | 28.0 | (15.9 | ) | |||
Comprehensive income | 1,432.0 | 682.9 | ||||
Attributable to: | ||||||
Shareholders of Fairfax | 1,264.9 | 600.7 | ||||
Non-controlling interests | 167.1 | 82.2 | ||||
1,432.0 | 682.9 | |||||
(1) Restated for the transition to IFRS 17.
SEGMENTED INFORMATION
(US$ millions)
Third party gross premiums written, net premiums written and combined ratios, on an undiscounted basis, for the property and casualty insurance and reinsurance operations (excluding Life insurance and Run-off) in the first quarters ended
Gross Premiums Written
First quarter | % change year-over- year |
|||||||||
2023 | 2022 | |||||||||
Northbridge | 506.3 | 474.7 | 6.7 | % | ||||||
Crum & Forster | 1,155.6 | 1,036.6 | 11.5 | % | ||||||
Zenith National | 257.3 | 259.0 | (0.7 | )% | ||||||
North American Insurers | 1,919.2 | 1,770.3 | 8.4 | % | ||||||
1,883.6 | 1,751.8 | 7.5 | % | |||||||
Odyssey Group | 1,508.8 | 1,417.1 | 6.5 | % | ||||||
Brit(1) | 895.1 | 885.4 | 1.1 | % | ||||||
Global Insurers and Reinsurers | 4,287.5 | 4,054.3 | 5.8 | % | ||||||
International Insurers and Reinsurers | 886.3 | 791.2 | 12.0 | % | ||||||
Property and casualty insurance and reinsurance | 7,093.0 | 6,615.8 | 7.2 | % |
Net Premiums Written
First quarter | % change year-over- year |
||||||||
2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
Northbridge | 443.1 | 431.1 | 2.8 | % | |||||
Crum & Forster | 855.3 | 833.3 | 2.6 | % | |||||
Zenith National | 259.8 | 257.5 | 0.9 | % | |||||
North American Insurers | 1,558.2 | 1,521.9 | 2.4 | % | |||||
1,460.8 | 1,334.3 | 9.5 | % | ||||||
Odyssey Group | 1,409.6 | 1,320.0 | 6.8 | % | |||||
Brit(1) | 644.0 | 630.2 | 2.2 | % | |||||
Global Insurers and Reinsurers | 3,514.4 | 3,284.5 | 7.0 | % | |||||
International Insurers and Reinsurers | 546.8 | 490.9 | 11.4 | % | |||||
Property and casualty insurance and reinsurance | 5,619.4 | 5,297.3 | 6.1 | % |
Combined Ratios
First quarter | ||||||
2023 | 2022 | |||||
Northbridge | 91.1 | % | 87.3 | % | ||
Crum & Forster | 94.7 | % | 94.8 | % | ||
Zenith National | 99.3 | % | 95.4 | % | ||
North American Insurers | 94.1 | % | 92.5 | % | ||
91.7 | % | 92.1 | % | |||
Odyssey Group | 96.4 | % | 93.7 | % | ||
Brit(1) | 90.8 | % | 91.8 | % | ||
Global Insurers and Reinsurers | 93.5 | % | 92.8 | % | ||
International Insurers and Reinsurers | 96.4 | % | 97.5 | % | ||
Property and casualty insurance and reinsurance | 94.0 | % | 93.1 | % | ||
(1) Excluding Ki Insurance, gross premiums written decreased by 4.8% and net premiums written decreased by 2.2% in the first quarter of 2023. Excluding Ki Insurance, the combined ratios were 90.5% and 92.2% in the first quarter of 2023 and 2022.
Certain statements contained herein may constitute forward-looking statements and are made pursuant to the “safe harbour” provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and any applicable Canadian securities regulations. Such forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Fairfax to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such factors include, but are not limited to: a reduction in net earnings if our loss reserves are insufficient; underwriting losses on the risks we insure that are higher or lower than expected; the occurrence of catastrophic events with a frequency or severity exceeding our estimates; unfavourable changes in market variables, including interest rates, foreign exchange rates, equity prices and credit spreads, which could negatively affect our investment portfolio; the cycles of the insurance market and general economic conditions, which can substantially influence our and our competitors’ premium rates and capacity to write new business; insufficient reserves for asbestos, environmental and other latent claims; exposure to credit risk in the event our reinsurers fail to make payments to us under our reinsurance arrangements; exposure to credit risk in the event our insureds, insurance producers or reinsurance intermediaries fail to remit premiums that are owed to us or failure by our insureds to reimburse us for deductibles that are paid by us on their behalf; our inability to maintain our long term debt ratings, the inability of our subsidiaries to maintain financial or claims paying ability ratings and the impact of a downgrade of such ratings on derivative transactions that we or our subsidiaries have entered into; risks associated with implementing our business strategies; the timing of claims payments being sooner or the receipt of reinsurance recoverables being later than anticipated by us; risks associated with any use we may make of derivative instruments; the failure of any hedging methods we may employ to achieve their desired risk management objective; a decrease in the level of demand for insurance or reinsurance products, or increased competition in the insurance industry; the impact of emerging claim and coverage issues or the failure of any of the loss limitation methods we employ; our inability to access cash of our subsidiaries; our inability to obtain required levels of capital on favourable terms, if at all; the loss of key employees; our inability to obtain reinsurance coverage in sufficient amounts, at reasonable prices or on terms that adequately protect us; the passage of legislation subjecting our businesses to additional adverse requirements, supervision or regulation, including additional tax regulation, in
Source:
2023 GlobeNewswire, Inc., source
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Technical analysis trends FAIRFAX FINANCIAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
Short Term | Mid-Term | Long Term | |
Trends | Bullish | Bullish | Bullish |
Income Statement Evolution
Sell Buy |
|
Mean consensus | OUTPERFORM |
Number of Analysts | 7 |
Last Close Price | 695,18 $ |
Average target price | 865,39 $ |
Spread / Average Target | 24,5% |