The two day Scone Carnival kicks off this Friday where it is Scone Cup Day. The weather is fine, the track is soft (5) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
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Scone Cup 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Scone Cup
Race 1. (12:25) Prydes Easifeed Mdn Plate 1300m
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Back Me
5 Mazita (Bet Now: $4.40) does look the one with the most upside/progression. This colt debuted at Muswellbrook over 1280m where he got back to near last in the run and while he was never a winning threat, I loved the way he found the line late in the piece when third to Neddy, beaten a lip in a driving go. On the bigger track, fitter, and with Kia Ora in the ownership, you’d think they would love a flex in the opening race of the Carnival.
Danger
7 The Hanger Cat (Bet Now: $6.50) has home track advantage and should be suited back up in trip. He was 1200m back to 1100m when racing here last time. He was wide no cover on speed throughout and was entitled to somewhat knock up but kept finding and only just got a stitch very late when second to Divine Sinner. With luck from the gate, he’ll be around the mark.
Long Shot
13 Two Aye (Bet Now: $8.50) has more upside than most and should appreciate a rise to 1300m. She was kept pretty safe in betting when debuting over 1000m at Wagga. She was off the bit and seemingly struggling in the run but she ran through the pain barrier and was pretty solid to the line without threatening when fourth. Off that, 1300m should be ideal and maps to get a sweet run in transit.
Race 2. (13:00) Brokenwood Mdn Hcp 1000m
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One of the betting pearls is 2YO’s against older horses in maiden races so with that, I am siding with 10 Perigean (Bet Now: $3.90), who is on debut for Michael Freedman. He has been well educated for start one, having a Summer prep without a run. Spelled and has come back this time with two trials, the latest seeing him third over 1045m at Randwick and I thought moved very well. Good grounding for this and maps to get a sweet trip.
Danger
1 Azayaka (Bet Now: $2.15) is hard to beat with better racing manners. She debuted over 1000m at Gosford where she was a touch keen in the run on speed and tried her guts out but couldn’t quite finish it off when a narrow second to Mount Warning. T Clark from Innes Jr is a big upgrade and you’d like to think he’ll get her to relax in front. If that’s the case, she’ll tale running down.
Long Shot
4 Afterlight (Bet Now: $9.00) was scratched from Wednesday in preference for this. Market said she was a good thing when racing over 1100m at Gosford but unfortunately she got caught wide no cover and just couldn’t get involved, beating one runner home in a field of six. Maps to get a much better run in transit and with her best, she can certainly take this out.
Race 3. (13:35) Stablewizard Hcp (C1) 1600m
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Open race with several key chances. Landed the way with 5 Mistress (Bet Now: $5.00) for John O’Shea, who seemingly has a strong hand in the race. She can be hit and miss but off last run, she can take this out. That last run was over the mile at Gosford on Anzac Day and I thought she worked home with real purpose when second to surprise winner Street Candi. I do think getting to a big track and firmer footing are two big ticks and maps to get a sweet run in transit.
Danger
8 Tequila Nights (Bet Now: $3.90) is a very interesting runner. Jack Bruce trains this three year old and makes the trip to NSW after a debut win at Beaudesert. I don’t think he beat much but I was impressed with the way he got better as the race went on and was very strong to and through the line in winning. Should use the inside gate to advantage and the rise to the mile is ideal.
Long Shot
11 Blue Jager (Bet Now: $31.00) has returned in pretty good order for Matty Smith and is a sneaky knockout hope. Both runs back from a spell have come at Muswellbrook, Latest run came over 1500m where she got a fair way out of her ground but saved it by staying inside and found the line really well when second to Media Man. Not sure she wins, but more of a first four threat.
Race 4. (14:10) Inglis 2Yo Challenge 1100m
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Happy to have something each way on 1 Chevron (Bet Now: $9.00). Kristen Buchanan trains this colt, who was a short priced favourite when resuming at Muswellbrook where he got a fair way out of his ground and was never really a threat but didn’t mind the way he finished his race off when fifth. Has the potential to settle much closer in the run and overall, his form does read well for a race like this.
Danger
14 Snippety Star (Bet Now: $5.50) has race experience/fitness on her side and the right racing pattern will give herself every chance. Her last run came at Wyong on March 25 where she found a bog track and struggled to pick her feet up late in the piece behind Townsend, running fourth. Freshened up, tick over trial at Rosehill was solid enough and gets Blinkers on, so there is real intent.
Long Shot
David Pfieffer has a good record in the race and he saddles up 11 Midnight Affair (Bet Now: $10.00) for her debut in this race. She has only had one soft trial to get ready for start one and while she was held, I thought she moved really well when beaten just over two lengths. Jason Collett rode in the trial and he sticks with her for this. Watch the market.
Race 5. (14:45) Newgate Hcp (C1) 1100m
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13 Written In Code (Bet Now: $2.10) looks a very sharp filly and all things being equal, she has far too much on these. This filly debuted over 1200m at Newcastle where she gave them a start and an absolute beating, winning by a space and clocking the best late splits of the meeting. Destined for better things than this, she is a moral. A complete, utter, moral.
Danger
5 Selous (Bet Now: $7.00) has returned in pretty good order for James Cummings. He has finished runner up in both runs this time in, resuming behind Chief Conductor at Hawkesbury before going to Newcastle where he looked home but had no answers late for the finale produced by Union Army. Hard fit and back to 1100m, quiet steer, he’ll be launching late I am sure.
Long Shot
11 Overriding (Bet Now: $26.00) is a daughter of Star Turn for Nathan Doyle that resumes. This girl is first up after a three run prep in the Summer to start her career, the highlight being the debut win at Newcastle on the Beaumont track where she made a mess of them. Looked sharp in a recent trial win at Wyong and should land in a plum spot from the gate.
Race 6. (15:20) Vinery Stud Country Cup (Bm84) 1400m
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Happy to have a throw at the stumps in the shape of 3 Tim’s Principal (Bet Now: $23.00) for Jeremy Gask. This guy is rising ten years of age but he still maintains a healthy zest for racing, as seen by his effort at Newcastle just under two weeks ago where he got back to near last in the run and made up solid headway without threatening behind a promising three year old, Union Army. Like him up to 1400m onto the bigger track and will be strong at the end.
Danger
12 Amicus Curiae (Bet Now: $6.00) is knocking on the door to win for Mack Griffith. He has placed at his past two runs, both at Eagle Farm. Two back he ran third over 1400m behind National Choice before going to the mile and tried his guts out but was no match late for the in form Kinetic. Is a winner at Scone and do think getting back to 1400m is a big tick. Leading contender.
Long Shot
6 Pepper’s Ghost (Bet Now: $9.50) has home track advantage and good upside. Warmed to the task nicely fresh over 1000m here before going to 1350m at Doomben where he got keen in the run and I reckon that took something away from his finale behind Sunfall. That run was April 12 so has been kept on ice with this race in mind so watch the market.
Race 7. (16:00) Scone Cup 1600m
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Firmer footing and back to the mile, D-Day for 1 Sunshine Rising (Bet Now:
$SP.00). He has been bursting to win a race all prep but kept finding one or two better during the Sydney Autumn, but didn’t run 2000m out on the bog in the JRA Plate. Back to the mile is a big tick, lands in a plum spot from the gate…gee he looks well placed and is the bet for me.
Danger
Giving serious respect to 9 Wild Planet (Bet Now: $7.50). Team Hawkes have this guy and I thought he did more than enough when resuming two weeks ago in the Hall Mark, closing off his race nicely without threatening behind impressive winner Vilana. The knock is the mile but has a soft gate to do no work and this is the easiest race he has contested in some time.
Long Shot
2 Berdibek (Bet Now: $13.00) should be suited on the bigger track for John O’Shea. He was unwanted in betting fresh in the Hawkesbury Cup but I thought ran a very credible race in defeat, closing off well from the back behind New Mandate, beaten three lengths. Good second up record and might want another run, but he has the quality, the upside and will be strong at the end.
Race 8. (16:40) Widden Stud Hcp (C2) 1300m
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4 Union Army (Bet Now: $3.00) looks a smart three year old for the Ryan/Alexiou camp. Both runs back from a spell have come at Newcastle, the latest being two weeks ago over 1200m, where he gave them a start and a beating, rounding them up from the back and producing great late splits in winning. Think hard fit and 1300m on the bigger track, he’ll get every chance to launch at them late.
Danger
7 Nosey Parker (Bet Now: $6.50) is a promising three year old for Paul Perry that commands respect. He is looking to make it three wins on the bounce, with the two wins coming at Newcastle, where each time has given them a start and a beating, winning impressively. Good test here against some likely types but I think he is a likely type in his own right.
Long Shot
11 Larrikin Rouge (Bet Now: $9.50) is a horse with good talent for Chris Anderson. He resumed over 1000m at the Sunny Coast where he didn’t quite get the rub of the green but when eventually clear, he warmed to the task nicely, beaten two lengths but clocked some of the better late splits of the meeting. Like him up in trip and drawn soft, think he’ll be dangerous.
BEST BET: Race Five Number 13 Written In Code
NEXT BEST: Race One Number 5 Mazita
LONG SHOT: Race Six Number 3 Tim’s Principal
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 13
Leg Two: 3, 6, 11, 12, 13
Leg Three: 1, 3, 4, 9
Leg Four: 2, 4, 7, 11
$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful
